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V4 CARE ARSEC - Green Energy Transition

Post-COVID Central Europe & the Green Transition
AI-Assisted Impact Analysis, Projections & Scenarios

With the support of the International Visegrad Fund, GARI launched a new project in May 2022. The Green Energy Transition project is an indirect continuation of the V4-CARE-ARSEC (2018 - 2021) project, which was designed as a regional step to establishing an interdisciplinary research centre that aims to alter the ways we understand regional and global processes and globalization. 

Goals

  1. To supply AI-assisted, Big-Data based analysis, projections, and scenarios of the impact of the Green Transition in the (post)COVID world

  2. To transform this capacity into a continuous system of regular semi- automatic updates across the spectrum of the outputs

  3. To distribute the findings among policy makers, policy analysts, and the business community

  4. To engage with selected universities as a step towards a more ambitious goal of establishing a V4-wide university courses on big data, AI-assisted analytics in political and social research.

The added value and innovative element lies in organic and deep marrying of the highly developed computer-based data-science techniques with the policy-related research and analytics. Complexity: each country, region, or industry will be analyzed with wealth of data ranging from 6000 – 16000 factors (including, but by far not limited to: economy, education, employment, health, energy, demography, finances, inflation and prices, social services, construction, transport, supply chains, environment, trade, investment, industry, banking, services, politics, security, inequality and many more). Depth: the geographical level will cover from a global, through European, regional, country- level to district-level perspective Speed: thanks to the digital data environment, the analytical process will be very swift which is crucial for being able to reflect the rapidly developing conditions Adaptability: in the case of the unpredictable “black swan” event, the digital environment can quickly adapt its projection and simulation capacities to the new and dynamic reality. Accuracy: the high-intensity, AI- assisted projections reach high-accuracy thanks to the above-mentioned complexity and depth but also thanks to the system of constant data-updates All these advantages will then shared with the relevant stakeholders in order to boost the readiness of the V4 economies, policies and societies for the looming turbulent futures.

Throughout the research, we combine pioneering ways of analysing (big) data on flows, interactions and political & regulatory frameworks. We work to develop a new analytical foundation, usable in real-world policy-making and business decisions. In the long run, our approach has the potential to enhance our capacities to assess the impact of globalisation and the capabilities of governments and institutions to manage the effects of globalization.

The research will run until 2024, with five regional public events (Prague, Wroclaw, Budapest, Bratislava and Brussels) to take place in late 2023 and early 2024, 1 hackathon facilitated by Politechnika Wroclawska - Department of Artificial Intelligence, and 5 workshops at regional universities.

 

The research consortium is composed of the following institutions:

Global Arena Research Institute (Prague)​ 
partnering with 

Politechnika Wroclawska (or Wrocław University of Science and Technology) Department of Artificial Intelligence

https://ai.pwr.edu.pl/

 Kopint-Tárki Economic Research Institute Ltd (Hungary)

http://en.kopint-tarki.hu/

STRATPOL - Strategic Policy Institute - (Slovakia)

www.stratpol.sk

News

CE discussions: Time to rethink green transition ambitions: taking the laws of physics seriously - April 2024

Europe is tackling complex geopolitical, geoeconomic, environmental and societal pressures where crucial policies often contradict each other when put into practice.

 The workshop will delve into green transition policies, aiming for realistic and effective strategies. It comes at a time when European parliamentary elections face challenges like rising populism and polarization, with green energy policy at the forefront. The outcome of these elections will influence the new EU Commission, which must address green transition dilemmas.

The workshop will delve into green transition policies, aiming for realistic and effective strategies. It comes at a time when European parliamentary elections face challenges like rising populism and polarization, with green energy policy at the forefront. The outcome of these elections will influence the new EU Commission, which must address green transition dilemmas.

Our research, backed by the International Visegrad Fund, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, and Czech Technology Agency, indicates that current EU green policies are falling short. The workshop will present these findings and host debates. Planned are four debates in Central Europe and one in Brussels, aiming to develop new policy recommendations. 

These will be shared at the Next 100 Symposium in Berlin in May 2024, intending to influence the upcoming EU Commission and elections.

Presentations & Discussions (April):

Prague

Warsaw

Brussels

Budapest

Bratislava

 We look forward to sharing our extraordinary results soon!

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Adriana Ilavska

Head of Data, Global Arena Research Institute

Michal Koran
Founder & Head of Research, Global Arena Research Institute

Odessa Primus
Executive Director, Global Arena Research Institute

Peter Vakhal
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, USA, Anglo-American University, Prague

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Piotr Bródka

Associate Professor at Wroclaw University of Science & Technology, Department of Computational Intelligence

Radoslaw Michalski

Radosław Michalski, network scientist, Department of Artificial Intelligence, Wrocław University of Science and Technology

Alzbeta Gavalcová
Strategic Policy Institute, STRATPOL

Matej Kandrik

Strategic Policy Institute, Transatlantic relations, European security, Eastern Partnership, STRATPOL

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