With the support of the International Visegrad Fund, GARI launched a new project in May 2022. The Green Energy Transition project is an indirect continuation of the V4-CARE-ARSEC (2018 - 2021) project, which was designed as a regional step to establishing an interdisciplinary research centre that aims to alter the ways we understand regional and global processes and globalization.
Next-Gen Energy and Green Transition: Sustainable Future or Economic Stagnation?
Charting a Realistic Path Ahead in EU Energy and Green Agenda
Presentation and Discussion
Embassy of the Czech Republic in Poland
ul. Koszykowa 18, 00-555 Warsaw
June 12th, 2024
10:00 - 13:00
This event is hosted by the Global Arena Research Institute and the Embassy of the Czech Republic in Warsaw and supported by the International Visegrad Fund
This event addresses the key challenges at the heart of Europe's future energy and environmental policies. The key energy objectives: security of supplies, equal affordability, and environmental sustainability - often find themselves in conflict. Enhancing supply security can lead to higher costs, while striving for lower costs may increase vulnerability. Furthermore, achieving environmental sustainability frequently conflicts with the other two pillars. With the upcoming European Commission facing the daunting task of reconciling these objectives in a realistic, plausible, and equitable manner, this discussion is timely and critical.
The meeting will begin by assessing past efforts in energy and environmental policies using advanced data-driven analyses provided by the Global Arena Research Institute. This evaluation will set the stage for a focused debate on viable policies for the future. The discussion will explore actionable and just pathways that can potentially harmonize these competing priorities, paving the way for a balanced approach to EU energy and environmental challenges.
PROGRAMME
10:00 – 10:15: Welcome and Introduction by H. E. Břetislav Dančák, Ambassador of the Czech Republic to Poland
10:15 – 10:45: Presentation of data-driven research on the impact and vulnerabilities regarding energy transition in EU and CEE (Global Arena Research Institute – Michal Kořan)
10:45 – 11:15: Reflection by experts (TBC)
11:15 – 12:00: Open Discussion
12:00 Closing Remarks and small refreshment
Goals
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To supply AI-assisted, Big-Data based analysis, projections, and scenarios of the impact of the Green Transition in the (post)COVID world
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To transform this capacity into a continuous system of regular semi- automatic updates across the spectrum of the outputs
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To distribute the findings among policy makers, policy analysts, and the business community
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To engage with selected universities as a step towards a more ambitious goal of establishing a V4-wide university courses on big data, AI-assisted analytics in political and social research.
The added value and innovative element lies in organic and deep marrying of the highly developed computer-based data-science techniques with the policy-related research and analytics. Complexity: each country, region, or industry will be analyzed with wealth of data ranging from 6000 – 16000 factors (including, but by far not limited to: economy, education, employment, health, energy, demography, finances, inflation and prices, social services, construction, transport, supply chains, environment, trade, investment, industry, banking, services, politics, security, inequality and many more). Depth: the geographical level will cover from a global, through European, regional, country- level to district-level perspective Speed: thanks to the digital data environment, the analytical process will be very swift which is crucial for being able to reflect the rapidly developing conditions Adaptability: in the case of the unpredictable “black swan” event, the digital environment can quickly adapt its projection and simulation capacities to the new and dynamic reality. Accuracy: the high-intensity, AI- assisted projections reach high-accuracy thanks to the above-mentioned complexity and depth but also thanks to the system of constant data-updates All these advantages will then shared with the relevant stakeholders in order to boost the readiness of the V4 economies, policies and societies for the looming turbulent futures.
Throughout the research, we combine pioneering ways of analysing (big) data on flows, interactions and political & regulatory frameworks. We work to develop a new analytical foundation, usable in real-world policy-making and business decisions. In the long run, our approach has the potential to enhance our capacities to assess the impact of globalisation and the capabilities of governments and institutions to manage the effects of globalization.
The research will run until 2024, with regional public events (Prague, Berlin, Warsaw, Bratislava)
CONCEPTUAL PAPERS AND REPORTS
Global Arena Research Institute (Prague)
partnering with
Politechnika Wroclawska (or Wrocław University of Science and Technology) Department of Artificial Intelligence
Kopint-Tárki Economic Research Institute Ltd (Hungary)
STRATPOL - Strategic Policy Institute - (Slovakia)
CE discussions: Time to rethink green transition ambitions: taking the laws of physics seriously - 2024
Europe is tackling complex geopolitical, geoeconomic, environmental and societal pressures where crucial policies often contradict each other when put into practice.
The workshop will delve into green transition policies, aiming for realistic and effective strategies. It comes at a time when European parliamentary elections face challenges like rising populism and polarization, with green energy policy at the forefront. The outcome of these elections will influence the new EU Commission, which must address green transition dilemmas.
The workshop will delve into green transition policies, aiming for realistic and effective strategies. It comes at a time when European parliamentary elections face challenges like rising populism and polarization, with green energy policy at the forefront. The outcome of these elections will influence the new EU Commission, which must address green transition dilemmas.
Our research, backed by the International Visegrad Fund, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, and Czech Technology Agency, indicates that current EU green policies are falling short. The workshop will present these findings and host debates. Planned are four debates in Central Europe and one in Brussels, aiming to develop new policy recommendations.
These will be shared at the Next 100 Symposium in Berlin in May 2024, intending to influence the upcoming EU Commission and elections.
Presentations & Discussions:
Prague
Berlin
Warsaw
Bratislava
Team and Partners
Adriana Ilavska
Head of Data, Global Arena Research Institute
Michal Koran
Founder & Head of Research, Global Arena Research Institute
Odessa Primus
Executive Director, Global Arena Research Institute
Peter Vakhal
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, USA, Anglo-American University, Prague
Piotr Bródka
Associate Professor at Wroclaw University of Science & Technology, Department of Computational Intelligence
Radoslaw Michalski
Radosław Michalski, network scientist, Department of Artificial Intelligence, Wrocław University of Science and Technology
Alzbeta Gavalcová
Strategic Policy Institute, STRATPOL
Matej Kandrik
Strategic Policy Institute, Transatlantic relations, European security, Eastern Partnership, STRATPOL